Defense of dissertation 30th of October 2015: should the risk numbers be believed?

Defence of dissertation in the field of Naval Architecture and Maritime, Floris Goerlandt, M.Sc.

The public examination of the doctoral dissertation of Floris Goerlandt, M.Sc. (Tech.), will be held on 30 Oct 2015 at 12.00 at the Aalto University School of Engineering. The title of the dissertation is Risk analysis in maritime transportation: principles, frameworks and evaluation.

The thesis focuses on risk analysis in the maritime transportation area, and addresses issues such as terminology, reliability, risk models and prediction and the consideration of uncertainty and bias. Based on the proposed principles, two frameworks for risk analysis are developed, one for policy-oriented and one for operational risk analysis. These frameworks are illustrated through extensive case studies addressing accidental oil spill risk in waterways and ship-ship collision alert systems. Finally, the evaluation of risk analyses, i.e. the issue of “believing the numbers” is considered.

Part of the  work presented in this thesis has been conducted in research projects RescOP and WINOIL.

More information about the event and the thesis as a pdf file can be found at Aalto University web pages.